A few Saturday model plays.
Phillies (Nola) +120 vs Braves (Fried)
The Phils pen blew up a great start for Wheeler yesterday. We looks for the Phils to turn the tables today. We make them a -114 fair, so we'll take the +120.
Nationals (Corbin )+168 vs Reds (Greene)
Sometime in the last two years, the name Patrick Corbin became a punchline. Deservedly. He was terrible. But I am here to say that in the second half of last year, Corbin was better. He was not good. He was average on his best day. But he was far from a national joke. We think the Reds mania is overstated, and the +168 number on the Nats does not reflect reality.
Royals (Lugo) + 120 vs Twins (Ryan)
Joe Ryan tailed so hard after returning last year that we will take some convincing before we stop fading him. (See added KPROPS below. It really is that simple. We have this game as a Royals -150. No brainer. Slight lean to the over 8 here as well. Not quite strong enough to make it a play.
Added KPROPS
Y Kikuchi over 5.5 +123
J Ryan under 5.5 -109