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MLB 4-30 Afternoon

We've got a few model plays in MLB today, all in the later window, including a #DoubleDown play.

Dbacks (Nelson) -120 v Rockies (Gomber) 2u

Our 8th DoubleDown play (previous plays are 4-3) features the Dbacks taking on a hapless Austin Gomber at Coors Field. We don't have quite as much data on Nelson as we'd like, but Gomber has bee so bad at home, the Dbacks could start my kid sister and still be a good bet.

Cardinals (Woodford) +134 v Dodgers (Syndergaard) 1u

Cardinal-Dodgers under 10.5 -111 1u

The model has Woodford being slightly disrespected in this one. While he isn't going to make anyone forget Koufax, Woodford has been acceptable in his road starts, and this game calcs out to roughly a coin flip. We'll take the plus money.

Both starters and bullpens project slightly better than average run suppression, so going under 10.5 seems a no brainer.

May have another pick later. Good luck!

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