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Prime Plays 7-7

Three model plays for tonight:

White Sox (Cease) -107 v Cardinals (Montgomery)

We don't get the praise we've seen recently for Jordan Montgomery. In our numbers he shakes out to an average to slightly below pitcher. Dylan Cease may not be the dominating pitcher he was in the last few seasons, but he is still sports very strong number (home PRS .78.) This Chisox lineup has a half run advantage to start out with over the hapless Cards. We make fair odds on the White Sox here -157. Strong value.

Reds (Abbott) +105 vs Brewers (Burnes)

We don't quite have the data volume we would like on Abbott, but his numbers so far are stunning. Burnes has been good, but not great at home. We think that the streaking Reds STILL are somehow not getting the respect they deserve in the market. We have them as should-be substantial favorites in this matchup.

Orioles-Ober over 8.5

The bats have been waking up in Minnesota over the last few weeks, just in time for Cole Irvin to come to town. The Twins are big favorites in this one, appropriately so, but the 8.5 number gives too much respect to these pitching staffs, especially Irvin. We think this one gets comfortably to double digits.

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